Trumpism Feels Increasingly BrokenWe have primaries today in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota - good luck everyone!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
Happy Tuesday everyone. Been talking a lot of late about Trump’s racking up the losses on everything from Iran to his ballroom to his ICE funding bill to his slush fund, and how he had become a weakened and diminished figure in Washington and around the world (here, here). Let’s review some headlines from this morning, and just note how much of media narrative has become about some form of Trumpian failure and his ebbing powers. THE STORY has become his weakness and struggle:
For Trump the growing perception of his failing/weakness/struggle is a very big problem for being strong/winning/successful is the foundation of his brand. Everything else is built on top of it, and if you take it away what you are left with is something very ugly and impossible to sell to the American people. It’s also why we often talk here about how Democrats need to take the strong/weak, winning/losing, successful/failure dimension in our politics far more seriously, for it is may be as important to people’s understanding of a candidate or party as most of the big issues we focus on each election cycle. In 2024 that he was winning and a winner - in part garnered through heavily advertised right-aligned, favorable polling and prediction markets data - I think played a big role in helping late deciding, lower information voters break his way. From the 2024 Exit Polls:
This growing perception of his weakness matters for it will lead to further defiance of him and his agenda, as we are now seeing from Congressional Republicans on the slush fund, the ballroom, Iran, and Russia; and in the increasing ambition and courage of judges across the country. Here’s how Punchbowl News described this dynamic today:
As he is weak now we must be strong, and this week we are fighting for these four things in Congress (please make your calls everyone):
And there is also this dangerous outrage, new this morning - Trump just made Bill Pulte, a ridiculous political hack, the Acting Director of National Intelligence. It’s a shocking misjudgment that is going to only further weaken his already battered standing on the Hill and with what’s left of our allies around the world. Coming in a week where he may facing - and lose - Congressional votes on both Ukraine and Iran this will be seen on the Hill as a huge, reckless misstep, from a regime that feels like it is unraveling right now.
The Economist/YouGov weekly tracking poll was just released and look at all this evidence of Trumpian failure. Note he’s 21%-71%, -50 points, with independent voters, -34 with Hispanics and -35 with 18-29 year olds!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Roy Cooper released the first ad of his campaign. Yes, my friends, the general election is here and the ads are going to start flying now: 
Six states have primaries today - California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Good luck to everyone who has a candidate you are fighting for, and thanks to everyone who support Rebecca Bennett in her campaign to flip NJ-7 blue!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Now, my friends, because he is weak and we need to be strong it is…… Time To Get To Work Everyone!!!!!!Winning The Midterms, Competing In Red States and Red Places, Expanding The MapHopium’s Winning The House Campaign - $751,100 raised, $1,000,000 goal (new ambitious, audacious even, q2 goal) - Donate to all twelve of our endorsed House challengers with a single contribution split twelve ways | Get to know Jamie Ager (NC-11), Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Rebecca Cooke (WI-03), Elaine Luria (VA-02), Sean McCann (MI-04), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), Chaz Molder (TN-05), Jonathan Nez (AZ-02), Janelle Stelson (PA-10), Shannon Taylor (VA-01), and Sarah Trone Garriott (IA-03) by watching our recently recorded Hopium interviews. Friends if these twelve win, the House will flip, no matter redistricting madness the Rs execute in the coming days. So eyes on the prize here. Hopium’s Winning The House - Second Wave - $62,700 raised, $250,000 goal - We’ve launched a second House fund, one targeting candidates who’ve recently emerged from primaries or have to run in new districts. Our initial crew is Bob Brooks (PA-07), Johnny Garcia (TX-35), Bob Harvie (PA-01), Denise Powell (NE-02), and Bobby Pulido (TX-15). A donation to the Second Wave Fund will be split evenly among these five, and more as other worthy candidates emerge for their primaries. We are off to a great start here people! Mary Peltola For Alaska Senate - $98,600 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn more through my uplifting conversation with Mary Peltola as she fights to turn Alaska blue James Talarico For Texas - $82,100 raised, $250,000 - Donate | Learn more from my inspiring interview with Rep. Talarico as he fights to turn Texas blue Winning Ohio - $153,100 raised, $250,000 goal - Our new campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton/Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party | Donate today and help us turn this critical 2026 battleground blue This total includes $21,000 sent by a Hopium community member directly to each of our three Buckeye State partners! Hopium’s Audacious Expansion Fund - $579,100 raised, $1,000,000 goal (new stretch goal) - Join our campaign that has helped expand our map by investing in the Democratic Parties of Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, all now central battlegrounds in the 2026 election | Catch interviews with the five intrepid state chairs leading their troops into battle this year - will get you fired up! | Contribute to all five state parties with one contribution split evenly among these five new battlegrounds Many thanks to two generous Hopium community members who have audaciously donated $20,000 to each of our five state parties over the past two years Roy Cooper for NC Senate - $119,600 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn more through my new discussion with Gov. Cooper Jon Ossoff GA Senate - $181,100 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn more through my uplifting conversation with Senator Ossoff Be sure to self-report the good trouble you make each day in our daily chat, below. Keep working hard everyone. We have a country to save, and an election to win, together! - Simon You're currently a free subscriber to Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription.
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