This week, I launched Message Box Pro — a subscription service for candidates, campaign staffers, and organizers fighting to defeat MAGA at every level. Members get weekly strategy memos, messaging guidance, public opinion analysis, and direct access to me through weekly office hours. Visit messageboxpro.com to learn more or sign up below. Why Trump's Poll Numbers Won't Get BetterAn end to war in Iran won't solve Trump's political problems
There is something deeply unsettling about having a dangerously erratic president at a time of war. The past week has been a perfect encapsulation of Trump-induced whiplash. Last Thursday, we were at war and blockading the Strait of Hormuz. On Friday, Trump declared the Strait was open, Iran had agreed to all our conditions, and we were on the cusp of a peace deal. By Saturday morning, the Strait was closed again, and Iran had fired on at least two ships. On Sunday morning, U.S. officials were about to head to Pakistan to hammer out a deal, and a few hours later, the U.S. had seized an Iranian ship and Trump was once again threatening to commit war crimes. By Monday, peace talks were back on — and then, moments before J.D. Vance was scheduled to leave for Islamabad, they were called off, though the ceasefire was extended. It’s impossible to know if, how, or when this moronic and illegal war will come to an end. Anyone dumb enough to start it is too dumb to finish it. In that brief moment of “peace” on Friday, the stock market rallied, oil prices dropped, and political pundits began to wonder whether all the damage from the war would fade by November. I don’t think so. Even if the war ended tomorrow and the Strait reopened, Trump will have suffered lasting political damage. Of course, if the U.S. is still embroiled in a raging war and gas is well north of $4 a gallon come November, that’s a worst-case scenario — one Trump is doing a great job of ensuring with his unhinged tweets and schizophrenic policy decisions. But no matter what happens, the damage is done, and this war is not one of those Trump outrages that will be memory-holed in a matter of weeks. Republicans will pay a price for Trump’s ill-fated, ill-considered decision to go to war. Here’s why. It’s the Decision, Not the ConflictNew wars tend to start popular and then lose altitude over time as people begin to reckon with the costs in blood and treasure. The Gulf War, the War in Afghanistan, and the Iraq War all launched with broad bipartisan support. The latter two dragged on and became particularly unpopular — but crucially, voters had initially supported the decision to go to war, and only soured over time on how those wars were conducted. Not so with Trump’s war in Iran... Continue reading this post for free in the Substack app
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Thursday, April 23, 2026
Why Trump's Poll Numbers Won't Get Better
Trump Has Eliminated Election Safeguards and Installed Loyalist Election Deniers in Key Roles
Trump Has Eliminated Election Safeguards and Installed Loyalist Election Deniers in Key Roles“The election denial movement is now interwoven within the federal government.”
On Monday, ProPublica released a massive new investigation breaking down how Donald Trump has dismantled federal guardrails that stopped him from overturning his 2020 election loss. The 4,700+ word investigation, based on interviews with about 30 current and former executive branch officials, provides an unprecedented and detailed account of how thoroughly critical election security guardrails have been gutted within the federal government ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Key Findings from ProPublica’s Investigation:We read the entire piece (twice) to make sure you’re aware of the findings.
Trump is “flooding the zone” to distract us. Billionaires are trying to control what you see, buying up media and controlling algorithms. Share this. Help spread the word. Comment from Lauren Groh-Wargo, Fair Fight Action CEO: “Let’s be clear about what ProPublica has documented – the federal officials who stopped Trump from overturning his 2020 election loss have been systematically removed and replaced by the same people who tried to help him do it. At least eight key election security programs have been gutted since Trump took office. This is a coordinated effort to ensure there are no guardrails left when Americans go to vote in 2026 – everyone must understand what’s at stake.” This Investigation Builds on a Pattern of ReportingProPublica’s investigation is revealing a coordinated effort to interfere with the 2026 midterm elections:
The Election Integrity Network is the Connective TissueThe Election Integrity Network, founded by Cleta Mitchell after Trump’s 2020 loss, is the organizational thread connecting these appointees. Mitchell played a central role in efforts to overturn Trump’s 2020 loss, she joined Trump’s infamous phone call to “find” votes in Georgia, was later subpoenaed by the House January 6th Committee and recommended to face charges by a Georgia grand jury. At least 11 Trump officials have ties to Mitchell’s election denial network – they’ve been installed in agencies like DHS, DOJ, and CISA. One key example is Heather Honey, often seen as a protege of Mitchell. Honey falsely claimed more ballots were cast in Pennsylvania than there were voters in 2020, a claim Trump cited on January 6th – now holds a newly created DHS election integrity role and still gives EIN members private briefings from inside the government. Experts warn this coordination would likely have violated ethics rules under previous administrations, including Trump’s first term. What Can You Do?It’s becoming increasingly clear that Trump and his allies are trying to put their thumb on the scales ahead of the 2026 midterms. They’ve spread false conspiracy theories about voting machines and voter rolls – and reporting shows those claims are now being used to justify federal action. Trump’s March 2025 executive order attempted to force the decertification of voting machines used in multiple states. Courts blocked it – but the people who pushed for it are still in charge. False claims assembled by election deniers were used to justify the FBI’s seizure of 2020 ballots in Fulton County and federal power is being used to pressure states into handing over their un-redacted voter rolls containing Americans’ personal, private information. This isn’t a red state or blue state issue. These efforts can target elections anywhere in the country. Regardless of who you support politically, you should want your vote to be protected and your elections to be fair. Call your Secretary of State (contact info):
They have a duty to protect the integrity of our elections – make sure they know you expect them to do it. Speak up. Remain vigilant. Be ready to vote. Fair Fight Action Team Paid for by Fair Fight Action.Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to stay sharp, fight back, and never miss a beat in the battle for democracy.
© 2026 Joyce Vance |
Why Trump's Poll Numbers Won't Get Better
An end to war in Iran won't solve Trump's political problems ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ...
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