Trump On President's Day - Rot, Failure, And DeclineThe tide is turning against the most un-American leader America has ever hadMorning all. I was going to write something a bit more breezy today, and let Saturday’s post full of videos and links be the bulk of the content, but I was struck today by the tone of the coverage I encountered this morning, and how much of it had a “Trump is batshit crazy and failing”/Emperor has no clothes vibe. This vibe matters for next week is the State of the Union, and we will be spending the next few weeks assessing the health of the nation and Trump’s second term. Based on my read of the news vibe right now Trump is entering this consequential period in a bad place. For the truth is Trump’s first year has been a disaster for him politically and electorally, and for the nation more broadly. He has very, very little that the can sell the to public next week that they will want to buy. Let’s review - the economy has slowed. Inflation has remained too high. The Fed stopped cutting interest rates. For the first time in history we no longer have the highest credit rating in any of the top three credit rating agencies. Consumer confidence has been the lowest in sixty years. Crypto is crashing. Our health care system has been badly damaged. We are losing manufacturing jobs. Our world leading research ecosystem has been under a sustained assault. Trump is the most corrupt politician in our history. He is a 34 times felon, and his time in office has resembled a crime spree far more than an America Presidency. The Epstein coverup is staggering in its immorality and lawlessness, and he has now also clearly failed to contain the extraordinary scandal. The country has rejected mass deportation and his brutal assault on communities across the country. We keep winning and overperforming in elections of all kinds across the country, and are also now likely to win the redistricting war he recklessly, impulsively, initiated. He has alienated our allies, sided with Putin, and is leaving us alone, isolated, and far less safe. He is regularly murdering people on the high seas, and his vaporization of USAID will end up killing tens of millions of the poorest people on Earth, including millions of children. It would be accurate to call him a mass murderer. The list goes on and on…… Let’s get to his coverage I mentioned. On Friday Axios ran a big story, written by its two founders, about Trump’s weakening hold on Washington with this dramatic image: Today, another well read insider DC publication, Politico, has a similar story that leads with this image: The article is essentially a long list of his failures, retreats, fuck ups, and batshit craziness. Let’s dive in:
Stories like these, written in these skeptical “holy shit the guy is a fuck up” tone would have been unimaginable in DC six months ago. But here we are. A week before the State of the Union. Ugly stuff for our very ugly leader and his rancid regime. Look at this other story from Politico today: Here is how the story begins:
The growing Republican freakout over the economic and political consequences of Trump’s mass deportation polices became so great this week that Mike Johnson, the Cowardly Speaker, had to bring a delegation of Members to the White House!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! In my weekly talk this week, Trump Is Weaker, And Our Movement Is Stronger, I reviewed what a bad week Trump was having in Washington. He signaled retreat in Minnesota. He lost two hugely important tariff votes in the House, getting rebuked, loudly, publicly, on his most important economic policy. Democrats refused to bend the knee on DHS funding and the Department shut down. Zelenskyy is just not yielding to Trump’s unrelenting pro-Russian blackmail, and Rubio is looking small and pathetic this week in Europe: And then there’s the polling……FiftyPlusOne has Trump at his lowest level of his second term now, -19, a staggering 31 point net drop (crash?) in just 13 months: That’s what we are seeing. Part of the reason I think Republicans in Congress have been a bit slow to challenge Trump is that the polls they see are much better for Trump than what we see. But even in that world Trump’s rot and decay has become impossible to ignore. Here is a chart Claude AI and I put together this morning of the one of the most pro-Trump pollsters out there, Quantus Insights. They just released a 43-56 (-13) poll for Trump. The trend is brutal for him, even among his most favorable of the red wave pollsters: As we hoped last summer the tide has turned against Trump. He has gone too far. Is too much of a fuck up. Things are not better in America. He done lasting harm to all of us. And it has become impossible to pretend otherwise, even among the supine Republicans in DC. His grip on the city is weakening, and even the insidery DC press has begun to turn against him for the state of the union is shitty, my friends, as shitty as its ever been. Let us summon the courage of Washington and Lincoln, and the people of Minnesota, and now……. Let’s Get To Work People!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Keep contacting your Senators and House Member and demand they rein in ICE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! We are in the fight about ICE we all wanted to have and now we need to go win it! Winning The Midterms, Competing In Red States and Red Places, Expanding The MapHopium’s Winning The House Campaign (2026) - $164,000 raised, $250,000 goal (new stretch goal) - Donate to all four endorsed House challengers with one click | Learn More | Enjoy our new conversations with Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Mayor Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), and Janelle Stelson (PA-10). Now including funds already raised with our friends at FridayAction for a joint event we are doing in late March. Hopium’s Audacious Expansion Fund - $369,300 raised, $500,000 goal (new stretch goal) - Join our new campaign to expand our map by investing in the Democratic Parties of Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, and Texas. Many thanks to two generous Hopium community members who have audaciously donated $10,000 to each of our five state parties. Mary Peltola For Alaska Senate - $33,700 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Volunteer and learn more. Amazing start everyone! Winning Ohio - $58,900 raised, $250,000 goal - Our new campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton/Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party. Donate today and help us turn this critical 2026 battleground blue! | Watch my conversation with David Pepper, who does a great overview of the opportunities we have in Ohio this year. Note a generous donor has sent $21,000 worth of Hopium-infused contributions directly to the candidates which are not included in our on-line goal tracker. Roy Cooper for NC Senate (2026) - $76,900 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn More | Volunteer | Enjoy my conversation with Gov. Cooper and a new, terrific one with NC Dem Party Chair Anderson Clayton Jon Ossoff GA Senate (2026) - $127,400 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn More | Volunteer | Enjoy my inspiring conversation with Senator Ossoff Winning The Big Arguments With Trump, Defend Our Democracy1 - Call Your Senators and Member Of The House And Demand They Act Upon Our Five-Part Agenda - We need to be loud people, very, very loud and make the case for our now five part agenda:
Keep working hard everyone. The momentum is with us, and we need to keep fighting as hard as we can - Simon You're currently a free subscriber to Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. |
Monday, February 16, 2026
Trump On President's Day - Rot, Failure, And Decline
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