Trump Is Weaker And Our Movement Is Stronger (New Video, Written Analysis)The courageous people of Minnesota have shown us the way
Morning all. Got together with our paid subscribers last night. A recording of our discussion is above, and you can find a transcript here. My bottom line take today - Trump is weaker, and we are stronger. He Is Weaker - There’s been a lot of failure for Trump in 2026. He failed to seize Greenland from the Europeans. The economy continues to underperform, and inflation is still too high. Crypto is crashing. We are starting to see early signs of the damage he’s done to our health care system. Democrats continue to overperform and win elections across the country, even in red areas of red states. Republicans in Congress are retiring at a record pace. His furious, illegal effort to contain the Epstein scandal has failed, spectacularly. The buffoonery and mavelovence of many of his top advisors has become a drag on his regime.
He continues to fall in the polls, and is now at the lowest point of his second term:
Here is my breakout of the Economist/YouGov tracker - lowest approval of 2nd term, Dems +8 in the generic ballot (highest this year), his 2024 coalition has unraveled, and utter failure on immigration and inflation, two of the essential pillars of his 2024 brand:
His attack on Minnesota has also been a profound failure, for now the country has turned on, and rejected, the foundational project of Trumpism itself - the vile white supremacist mass deportation campaign he, Vance, and Miller are lawlessly, inhumanely, maniacally pursuing. As I reviewed yesterday the polling is very clear now - the American people do not support mass deportation. They support the targeting and removal of criminals, but do not support Trump’s campaign targeting undocumented and legal immigrants for removal. Here is an example of the data we reviewed yesterday, this bit from Democratic pollster GBAO:
Finally, this week Trump suffered one of his most significant losses on the Hill in either of his two terms. First, on Tuesday, 3 House Republicans joined with the Democrats to block the renewal of a legislative maneuver by Speaker Johnson to prevent legislation rolling back Trump’s terrible tariffs from being considered, something that had been in place since early last year. The White House and Johnson furiously whipped this vote, and lost. Freed now to move legislation rolling back the tariffs last night Democrats introduced a resolution to rescind the tariffs against Canada. This too was furiously whipped by Trump/Johnson. And last night it passed, 219-211. Both the House and Senate, Republican controlled, have now voted to roll back Trump’s tariffs on Canada. It is an extraordinary, historic and welcome rebuke of Trump on his signature economic policy. It’s a clear sign that his political powers are ebbing, and his control over Congress is fraying. The national repudiation of what are arguably Trump’s two most important domestic policy initiatives - the tariffs and mass deportation - is, as President Biden used to say, a big fucking deal. He is weaker today, weaker than even a week ago. We Are Stronger - As we often talk about here in this first year of Trump’s second term Democrats have been electorally and politically successful. We’ve been winning and overperforming in elections of all kinds in all regions of the country. In just the past two weeks we’ve overperformed and won in red parts of the red states Louisiana and Texas by over 30 points, astonishing results. The DCCC has expanded its targeted “districts in play” to 44 now, ambitiously adding all districts Trump won by 13 points or less. We are now favored to win the House, and the Senate, despite a very tough map, is now in play. As of today it is likely that we will create more new seats than the Republicans in our mid-decade redistricting fight. We’ve been successful politically for Trump’s approval has crashed, his 2024 coalition has unraveled, his hold over Congress is fraying, and his political project is in peril. For me 2026 has been about Democrats building on these successes and learning how to do something we have not been successful at so far - stopping the harm Trump is doing to the country and all of us. And in that regard I think we have reasons to be optimistic that our leaders have begun to understand and execute against this part of the mission too. For as we and the Europeans have learned in the past few months when you fight Trump you can win. So we should be doing it more often, and on more fronts. This week we were able to get the House to vote for rolling back Trump’s destructive tariffs, and reversing the damage these terrible tariffs have done. No small thing. Members in both chambers have become far more aggressive and effective at challenging Trump officials at oversight hearings, and our own shadow hearings are becoming more sophisticated and have begun to break through the noise. The six courageous Democrats who stepped up to challenge Trump’s illegal orders to our armed services keep getting win after win against the regime. Importantly, we’ve begun to reject misguided, early counsel to adhere to “message discipline” and stay narrowly focused on just a few kitchen table issues. For history tells that aspiring autocrats must be challenged on all fronts, 24/7/365. For the lack of challenge is perceived as weakness, and creates a permission structure for escalation. “Message discipline” in an authoritarian context is a form of surrender, and it is critical that we learn how to fight across many fronts simultaneously. For a central way that we stop the Trumpian harms is by continuing to degrade and de-legitimatize the regime, and keep taking away their power. The most important harm mitigation initiative has come in our refusal to fund DHS this year, and our demand for meaningful reform of what has become a dangerous, lawless, and out of control terror force. Last week when Schumer and Jeffries demanded DHS funding get pulled out of the appropriations package Trump acceded to their demand. While we don’t know how this will play out, we are on offense now, they on defense. And we must press our advantage as hard as we can in the coming weeks, and get as much as we can from this struggling regime. Our leaders should not be “reasonable” now. They must be fierce. The regime is weak now. We must become strong, and stronger. For becoming strong, getting wins, building on them to get more is how we defeat Trump and Trumpism. Being “reasonable” is not what voters are looking for from us. What they want from us is to be strong, to prove we will fight for them, to not be well-intentioned, “reasonable” and virtuous, but strong and fierce enough to overcome the corruption, the oligarchs, the rough and tumble of politics to deliver for them. As we go forward it’s my hope that every leader and top staffer in our movement keeps this 2024 Exit Poll data taped to their computer screens:
We must be strong enough to “bring needed change.” We must be as strong, and as fierce, and as brave, and as courageous as the people of Minnesota; as were Alex Pretti and Renee Good; as are the millions of immigrant families, many here legally, who are literally fighting for their lives and the lives of their families under the extraordinary Trump assault all across the country. As I am writing we just got this remarkable news:
When we fight Trump we can win. And so we must do so all the time, on many more fronts. That is what the American people are expecting from us. And thus we must do it - for them, for our democracy, for the fight to bring about a “new birth of freedom,” here and everywhere. That’s what we talked about last night. Now…. Let’s Get To Work People!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Keep contacting your Congressional Reps and demand they rein in ICE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Big week ahead as DHS funding runs out on Friday! Winning The Midterms - Support Our Candidates
Expanding The Senate and Electoral College Maps, Winning In Red States and Red Places (2026-2032)
Winning The Big Arguments With Trump, Defend Our Democracy1 - Call Your Senators and Member Of The House And Demand They Act Upon Our Five-Part Agenda - We need to be loud people, very, very loud and make the case for our now five part agenda:
Keep working hard all. The momentum is with us, and we need to keep fighting as hard as we can - Simon
You're currently a free subscriber to Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription.
|
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Trump Is Weaker And Our Movement Is Stronger (New Video, Written Analysis)
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Missed the Weekly Growth Updates? No Worries, We’ve Got You.⚡️
Short. Smart. Addictive. ...
-
Four Ohio cities ranked in the nation's top 100 best cities for single people, according to a WalletHub survey that considered fact...
-
Rising Electricity Prices And The Fight For A Better Energy Future - My Conversation With Jay InsleeWatch now (21 mins) | Afternoon everyone. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ...
No comments:
Post a Comment