CNN Poll: 58% Say Trump's First Year Is A Failure, Senator Coons's Delegation Arrives In Denmark, Cook Moves 18 House Races Towards The DemsDemocrats can be warriors for working people *and* champions of freedom and democracy here and everywhere.......Morning all. We’ve gotten a fair number of polls this week, and they all say the same thing - a year into his second term Trump and his agenda are very unpopular. Here’s how CNN sums up their new poll findings:
Pretty brutal. So is Trump’s approval on the major issues:
This poll, like every other poll released this week, shows the public turning against ICE and Trump’s lawless assault on Minnesota. Here’s my recap of some of that data from earlier this week, a link to my conversation with Greg Sargent where we dive into the data and the politics of Stephen Miller/ICE, a link to my weekly talk where I discuss the terrible events and courageous citizens in Minnesota and The Great Task Remaining Before Us. This data from a Tuesday YouGov poll remains the most insightful of the data we’ve gotten this week about ICE’s terror campaign: This CNN poll also has some data that needs wider discussion inside the family. CNN asked the 61% who disapproved of Trump why they disapproved of Trump. The question is open-ended, meaning they were not given a pre-set battery narrowing their choices (as most polls do). Here is what they found (yes it adds up to more than 100% - will try to find out why):
We’ve noted here that “threats to democracy” rose to a top tier issue during the fall elections. This recent Yale University poll found “Democracy,” “Corruption,” and “Election Integrity” to be in the top 5 issues for all voters: Here’s most important issue in this week’s Economist/YouGov poll:
Here’s most important issue in a new Emerson Texas poll this week: There may have been a time this cycle where “threats to democracy” was a second tier issue. It is no longer the case, and our political leaders need to widen their aperture a bit, and communicate around what we call here a three-legged stool - affordability/tariffs, health care, and threats to democracy/corruption. We can be warriors for working people and champions of freedom and democracy here and everywhere. As we’ve discussed the through line to all this is something along the lines of “they are for the oligarchs, and we are for the people.” I write about this in a new Bluesky thread if you want to dive a little deeper. The Cook Report moved 18 House races towards the Democrats yesterday. This is very good news. Below is their current rankings of the battleground House races. Our focus now will be on flipping the Republican Toss Up, Lean Republican, and some Likely Republican seats. While of course we hope to win by as big a margin as possible, the majority will be won or lost in these 20-25 targeted Republican held seats and we must do everything we can to win all of them: Note that all 7 of our Hopium House 7 - those newly elected Members from battleground districts who we helped elect in 2024 and have been supporting again this time - are no longer in toss up, and are all “Lean Democrat” or better. Congratulations everyone. This was always the goal - win these tough battleground races, and then make sure they get re-elected. We are on track to do that now. Thanks to everyone who has contributed to these critical House races - remarkably we are almost at $3m raised for battleground House races in just the last two years. What can we do together this year peeps? Senator Coons and his bipartisan, bicameral delegation has landed in Denmark. Hope to share read outs tomorrow. Watch my terrific discussion with Senator Coons about this vital trip when you have the time. One of the most important conversations I’ve hosted in recent months. Now, Let’s Get To Work People!!!!!!!!!!!!!Winning The Midterms - Support Our Candidates
Expanding The Senate and Electoral College Maps, Winning In Red States and Red Places (2026-2032)
This recent post recapped our our very productive year together in 2025. In three new essays (here, here, here) I discuss how one of the ways we win the 2026 midterms is by providing early support to our candidates and parties to allow them to staff up, be loud, define the terms of the debate now, before the inevitable onslaught on AI slop, Russian disinfo, and Trumpian lies funded through bribes and corruption wash across the land. The midterms could be won or lost in these next few months - not in the fall of 2026 - and we need be fighting now with everything we got. Winning The Big Arguments With Trump, Defend Our Democracy - We have two recommended actions today: 1 - Call Your Senators and Member Of The House And Demand They Act Upon Our Five-Part Agenda - We need to be loud people, very, very loud and make the case for our now five part agenda:
2 - Celebrate America, Our Constitution, Our 250th Birthday By Bringing Our Resolutions Project To Your Community - This July 4th America celebrates it’s 250th birthday. We need to make this holiday, a celebration of our Declaration Of Independence from a mad king, our day, and not allow it to become his. One way we can do this is by bringing our Resolutions Project to your community or state. Imagine if by July 4th of next year a large number of towns, counties and states had passed formal resolutions, in the spirit of our Declaration of Independence, defending our Constitution and condemning the “injuries,” “abuses,” and “usurpations” of our mad king. For as our Founders wrote in the Declaration:
So far Hopium members have introduced or passed resolutions in 85 communities in 23 states. In the coming days we will be convening to discuss how to bring this campaign to more places and start planning to Own The Fourth next year. Finally, please self-report your activities to our daily paid subscriber chat. These reports help inspire all of us to do more and fight harder! Keep working hard everyone, and I remain so incredibly proud to be in this righteous fight with all of you - Simon Invite your friends and earn rewardsIf you enjoy Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg, share it with your friends and earn rewards when they subscribe. |
Friday, January 16, 2026
CNN Poll: 58% Say Trump's First Year Is A Failure, Senator Coons's Delegation Arrives In Denmark, Cook Moves 18 Ho…
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