Trump Has A Bad Week And He Takes It Out On All Of Us, MA AG Andrea Campbell Joins Us, Sherrill Up 7 In New PollI'm going live at 2pm ET with Allison Gill of Mueller, She Wrote - join us!
Morning all. Another day, another unhinged, manic and dangerous series of actions by our unwell and unfit leader. I will be joining legal expert Allison Gill (bio) today at 2pm on a Substack live to review all the new ugliness. You can join us by clicking here just before 2pm or change your settings to get notified whenever I go live either with Hopium or a guest on another channel.
Trump has had a bad week. Kimmel returned. His poll numbers continued to drop. He repeatedly humiliated himself at the UN, and became an object of global ridicule and scorn. He chickened out of a meeting with Leaders Schumer and Jeffries who have refused to bend the knee. Dems got the 218th vote to pass a discharge petition to release the Epstein files. And so, like an abusive husband, the madman-in-chief came home on Thursday and took it out on America and all of us.
Yesterday James Comey was corruptly indicted. Wild, insane new tariffs were levied. And the Trump team dramatically escalated their authoritarian crackdown on free speech, dissent and their perceived opposition.
Here is the video Jame Comey released last night after he was indicted:  Here’s Stephen Miller threatening the governor of California on Twitter as an example of their evolving “saying true things about the regime = terrorism” framework.
The inspiring Attorney General of Massachusetts, Andrea Campbell, came by yesterday to talk about all this and the important role she and her 22 fellow Dem AGs have played in fighting Trump’s ongoing assault on our democracy, rule of law and our freedoms. The Dem AGs have been aggressive, coordinated and effective, a model for the rest of the pro-democracy family. It is clear now given where Trump is headed their role as guardians of our Constitution will only grow in importance. I asked the Attorney General, who has been on the front lines of this critical battle to preserve our democracy what advice she had for all of us. This is what she said:
I was then excited to share that we here in this community have been doing just that, and that in fact the good citizens of Massachusetts have taken the lead now in passing “resolutions of condemnation” in Amherst, Boston, and Easthampton. The Attorney General was proud to hear that her constituents were doing the work that needs to get done now. It’s a great moment in this wonderful conversation. Get to this interview when you can. It will lift you up and put a little extra pep in your step today - and we all need that today don’t we? This clip of Democratic House Leader Hakeem Jeffries from yesterday will also give you a boost. We are in the fight we all wanted to have with Trump, and it is one we simply must win:  Sherrill Up 48%-41% (+7) In New Poll - We are way past the time, given the right’s history of treating polling like a part of the information domain (here, here), when a single, right-aligned outlier poll should shape our understanding of any election. Here are the recent polls from New Jersey. Sherrill leads by an average of 7 points (8 without Emerson), and the data is remarkably consistent throughout all the polls except this new Emerson poll:
The desperate Ciattarelli campaign is trying to create the impression that the election is close. In the last few weeks they released two “internal” polls showing the race a toss up, and then got an assist yesterday from this Emerson poll funded by Nexstar, a Nexstar TV affiliate and The Hill, also owned by Nexstar. (yes the anti Jimmy Kimmel Nexstar). While Emerson was once an independent polling shop in recent years it has polled for right-aligned groups, and this poll, and their national polling, show an electorate 7-10 points more Republican than the current poll averages. The last Emerson national poll had Trump’s job approval at 45%-47% (-2), 10 points better than the Strength In Numbers average of 42%-54% (-12). Similarly this new NJ poll finds an electorate between 7 and 10 points more Republican THAN ALL OF THE OTHER POLLS, including three from right-aligned pollsters. The Emerson NJ poll has Trump’s job approval at 41%-51% (-10), lower than the national average right now. Simply this is not plausible; given that New Jersey went 8 points more Democratic than the national popular vote and that Democrats have been overperforming our 2024 results in elections across the country this year. Strength In Numbers estimates Trump’s job approval in NJ should be -20, not -10, based on dozens and dozens of national polls in recent months. A 43%-43% result would signal a 6 point swing towards the Republican candidate from 2024, a result we have not seen in any other election in the country this year and a trend that is not showing up in any of the states having fall elections. So Emerson has been producing outlier, very pro-Trump national polls this year and just produced a very pro-GOP outlier poll in New Jersey, one funded by one of the two media groups that have taken Jimmy Kimmel off the air. OK. The Downballot newsletter has a very smart new analysis out this am, Republicans still aren’t spending like the New Jersey governor’s race is a tossup:
As we learned in both 2022 and 2024, Rs work the polling averages with their right-leaning polls to make it look like their candidates are strong and gaining and ours weak and fading in the closing days of an election when disinterested voters begin checking in. While we can take nothing for granted in any election, the data suggests that like Abigail Spanberger, Mike Sherrill enters the home stretch with a sturdy lead and if we keep working hard she should prevail in this critical November election - particularly after the Rs got caught this week playing dirty tricks.
Now, Let’s Get To Work Everyone!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Winning The Fall - Support Our November, 2025 Candidates and Yes On 50
Hopium members in CA/NJ/PA/VA - please vote on Day 1, or as early as you. When you vote early your names comes off the campaign GOTV rolls allowing them to move on to lower propensity voters, which increases D turnout and makes it more likely we win. Voting early = another way to help us win. Please vote early and encourage everyone you know to join you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Winning The Midterms - Support Our 2026 Candidates
Expanding The Map - Support Our Audacious Expansion Fund (2026-2032)
Our updated fundraising goals are now for the end of the year, December 31st, except for the 2025 races, which are now for Election Day, 2025. Defending America, Winning The Big Argument With Trump - We have two recommended actions today: 1 - Call Your Senators and Member Of The House And Demand They Act Upon Our Four-Part Agenda - We need to be loud people, very, very loud and make the case for our our emerging four part agenda. Demand that your Senators and House Member work to keep the government open and
2 - Bring “Resolutions Of Condemnation” To Your Community - Inspired by the tactics of our Founders learn about how Hopium members are advancing “Resolutions of Condemnation” in their communities across the country and consider bringing this initiative to your state, country or city/town. Be sure to check out our new discussion with Deborah Potter and Rachel Poliner who have passed resolutions in New Mexico and Boston, and offer advice on how to get a resolution passed in your own community. Remarkably, members of this community have passed or are advancing 81 (!!!!) resolution projects in 22 states + DC. Can we get to all 50 states by the fall election? Finally, please self-report your activities to our daily paid subscriber chat. These reports help inspire all of us to do more and fight harder! Been impressive to see how many of you remain involved in local, in person protests of all kinds in your communities. Great to see! Keep working hard all. We have a country to save and a future to reclaim for our kids and grandkids - Simon You're currently a free subscriber to Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription.
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Friday, September 26, 2025
Trump Has A Bad Week And He Takes It Out On All Of Us, MA AG Andrea Campbell Joins Us, Sherrill Up 7 In New Poll
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