Thursday, August 14, 2025

☕ Buzzkill

Americans are avoiding alcohol in record numbers...

Cock-a-doodle-doo. You instinctively know it's the "dog days of summer" (the back sweat gives it away), but do you know why it's called the dog days of summer?

According to the Farmers' Almanac, the phrase originated in Ancient Roman times. The Romans noticed that the star they called Sirius, the Dog Star, was in conjunction with the sun in late July. They believed the Dog Star's brightness made things hotter on Earth during the late summer months. So, they named this period diēs caniculārēs, or "days of the dog star," which was later shortened to "dog days."

In other words, it's not just anti-dog propaganda from Big Feline.

—Dave Lozo, Molly Liebergall, Matty Merritt, Adam Epstein

MARKETS

Nasdaq

21,713.14

S&P

6,466.58

Dow

44,922.27

10-Year

4.238%

Bitcoin

$122,898.81

Cava

$70.45

Data is provided by

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 5:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: Stocks jumped again to notch another record high yesterday, continuing the momentum from Tuesday when investors became convinced that there will be a September interest rate cut. Meanwhile, Cava plummeted after its sales growth underwhelmed Wall Street, with many now wondering if the "bowl slop" era is coming to an end.
 

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FOOD & BEV

Assorted beer cans

I-Hwa Cheng/Getty Images

Pour one out for the alcohol industry—only 54% of Americans say they imbibe adult beverages, marking the lowest number in the 90 years of Gallup polling.

The annual Consumption Habits survey revealed that health concerns—possibly stemming from new data showing an increased risk of seven types of cancer from even limited drinking—are killing people's buzzes:

  • For the first time in the history of the survey, more than half (53%) of respondents said moderate drinking (1 or 2 drinks per day) is unhealthy.
  • And those who still drink are doing less of it. Forty percent said it's been more than a week since their last drink, the highest percentage since 2000.

It's every demographic. Rates of consumption have fallen within every category you can imagine in the last two years, including age, income level, gender, and even political affiliation. Only 46% of Republicans reported drinking this year, a drop of 19 points from two years ago. Democrats dipped three points from 64% to 61% over that period.

Joint pain? While some observers have connected falling alcohol sales to the rise of recreational marijuana, Gallup director of social research Lydia Saad said rolling fatties doesn't appear to be causing the seismic shift.

If not weed, then what?

No one has any money.

That's essentially what Barclays beverage analyst Laurence Whyatt told the Financial Times, though he sees the economic outlook improving long term. In the meantime, nicotine is the preferred vice over beer:

  • The share prices of British American Tobacco, Altria Group, and Philip Morris are up this year, the Wall Street Journal noted.
  • Meanwhile, the stocks of Molson Coors and Constellation are down. Anheuser-Busch is up nearly 23% this year, but its beer sales have fallen for nine straight quarters.

Zoom out: With 66% of 18-to-34-year-olds believing that drinking in moderation is bad for your health, we may be witnessing the end of America's obsession with alcohol.—DL

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WORLD

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky meets with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz

Anadolu/Getty Images

European leaders express Ukraine optimism after call with Trump. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said "there is hope for peace in Ukraine" after he, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and other European leaders spoke virtually with President Trump ahead of his meeting with Vladimir Putin in Alaska tomorrow. Trump characterized the call as "very good," adding, "I would rate it a 10." He reportedly agreed that any peace plan must start with a ceasefire and would not be negotiated without Ukraine's involvement. Trump has recently voiced his frustrations with Putin's effort to prolong the war and threatened "severe consequences" for not agreeing to a ceasefire, though some allies are concerned he could soften his stance after meeting in person with the Russian leader this week.

The New York AG is picking up the fraud lawsuit against Zelle. NY Attorney General Letitia James announced she is suing Zelle for allegedly allowing scammers to steal from users. The CFPB filed a similar suit during the Biden administration, but it was dropped this year once Trump took office. James argued the payments platform "failed to adopt basic safeguards" to prevent more than $1 billion in funds from being stolen from 2017 to 2023. Zelle called the lawsuit "a political stunt to generate press." Trump's Justice Department recently opened an investigation into James, who has become one of the president's most high-profile opponents in law enforcement.

Air Canada is canceling flights as attendants go on strike. The Canadian flagship airline plans to start canceling flights today and suspend operations completely on Saturday after the union representing its flight attendants voted almost unanimously to go on strike. The union has asked for increased wages and an end to all unpaid work, saying the airline is "not interested" in resolving the dispute. CNN reported that Air Canada offered a 38% compensation increase over four years, among other benefits, but couldn't reach an agreement after eight months of negotiations. Air Canada operates about 430 flights each day between Canada and the US.—AE

RETAIL

Perishable groceries and home goods from Amazon

Amazon

The corporation that started out as an online bookstore is making another big play for your stomach: Amazon rolled out same-day delivery to more areas of the US for meat, produce, and other perishables yesterday, meaning more customers can now get fruits and veggies in the same order as last-minute socks and a fly-swatter.

According to Amazon:

  • Its new service is now available in 1,000+ cities in the US, including Raleigh, North Carolina, Tampa, Florida, and Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The goal is to reach 2,300+ regions by year's end.
  • The expansion doesn't replace its existing grocery businesses, Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods.

Competitors wince. Shares of Instacart, which IPO'd in 2023, dropped more than 11% yesterday. Supermarket chains felt a softer squeeze: Kroger fell ~4%, Walmart dipped almost 3%, and Ahold Delhaize—owner of regional chains Stop & Shop, Food Lion, Giant, and Hannaford—shed almost 1%.

Zoom out: After years of experimenting with grocery, the latest move will "almost certainly expand Amazon's market share in food," GlobalData managing director Neil Saunders told CNN. Amazon currently accounts for more than 20% of US digital grocery sales, while Walmart leads with over 30%, according to eMarketer.—ML

Together With Public.com

JOB MARKET

Chart showing unemployment among young men at 6% and women at 3.5%

Anna Kim, data from U.S. Census Bureau

Saturday might be for the boys, but it's only because their weekdays are looking pretty bleak. New data shows that young men who recently graduated from college are having a rough time finding a job, with the unemployment rate for men aged 23 to 30 hovering around 6%—higher than the 3.5% rate for young women and the 4.2% rate for the entire US last month.

Overall, the job market for new grads isn't great…except in a few key areas. Healthcare, hospitality, and education—all dominated by women—were the few fields that showed job growth during the last six months. Meanwhile, male-dominated industries like business and tech have had mass layoffs and hiring freezes:

  • Young men with a college degree are now slightly more likely to be unemployed than those without one, reversing a decades-long trend.
  • Even though young women might be locking down work in more stable industries, those fields typically pay less. The median entry-level salary for a nurse in 2023 was $65,000, for example, while the same for a computer scientist was $80,000, per NY Fed data.

More bad news…the sparse entry-level jobs that many men hunt for in consulting and coding are the same ones beginning to be replaced by AI.—MM

STAT

Doctor sitting at a desk with a computer

Picture Alliance/Getty Images

If you received a colonoscopy in Poland between 2021 and 2022, there's a chance your doctor missed something serious because they were so used to AI doing the work for them.

A recent study of experienced gastroenterologists at four endoscopy centers in Poland found that they were about six percentage points worse at identifying pre-cancerous growths in the colon after their ability to use AI assistance was taken away:

  • Three months before AI was brought in, the detection rate was 28%.
  • Three months after the AI help was removed, the detection rate dropped to 22%.

AI did help improve detection while it was available, but without it, the doctors basically turned into Dr. Spaceman from 30 Rock. One of the study's co-authors likened it to suddenly not being able to use Google Maps when traveling.—AE

NEWS

  • Ikea hired its first non-Swedish CEO, Juvencio Maeztu, a Spanish national who started as a store manager in 2001.
  • Apple is plotting a big AI expansion with new robots, speakers, security cameras, and a lifelike version of Siri as part of "an effort to restore Apple's mojo," Bloomberg reported yesterday.
  • The next Fed Chair nominee will reportedly be one of 11 candidates, including some private sector executives.
  • President Trump announced that he will host the 48th annual Kennedy Center Honors himself. Honorees include George Strait and Sylvester Stallone.
  • Remember Quibi? A group of current and former Hollywood execs is launching the short-form video startup MicroCo, which sounds an awful lot like Quibi, the app that shut down in 2020 less than a year after debuting.

RECS

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PLAY

Brew Mini: Today's puzzle is doing its best impression of the stock market. See why here.

Three Headlines and a Lie

Three of these headlines are real and one is faker than a hard out at the beach. Can you spot the odd one out?

  1. Now you can travel for less by buying someone else's vacation
  2. Labubu burglars make off with thousands of dollars' worth of merchandise from L.A.-area store
  3. New draft of global plastic pollution treaty wouldn't limit plastic production
  4. The hottest place to meet single Philadelphians? A 7am birdwatching group

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ANSWER

We made up the one about the birdwatching group.

Word of the Day

Today's Word of the Day is: endoscopy, meaning "a medical procedure that uses a long tube with a camera to look inside the body." Thanks to Ollie from Kansas City, MO, for the suggestion. Submit another Word of the Day here.

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