Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Revisiting our 2025 VC predictions

Surveying ESG, impact investing practices; UK cybersecurity VC funding takes a hit; Q&A: Version One Ventures chief on the next wave
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June 24, 2025
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🦎 Version One is a chameleon among Canadian VCs: It's based up north, but often shows up on the cap tables of US startup stars. Although Canada's startup ecosystem is young, Version One founder Boris Wertz says looking outside of its national borders is what the industry should do to strengthen itself. Full story

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Tariffs shifted VC outlook, but by how much?
 
As 2025 unfolds, the VC landscape is evolving in unexpected ways. While early-year optimism pointed to a rebound in liquidity and a revitalized IPO market, global tariff tensions have reshaped the narrative. IPO activity has slowed, but resilience is emerging in new forms, according to our 2025 US Venture Capital Outlook: Midyear Update.

Despite headwinds, six US companies have achieved billion-dollar valuations through successful listings. Meanwhile, M&A activity is thriving, with VC-backed companies—especially AI-driven startups—leading a record 36% of acquisitions. H2 will be pivotal for the market.
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UK cybersecurity startups struggle for VC funding despite surge of threats
(Thoman Samson/Getty Images)
Despite high-profile cyberattacks and government plans to support cybersecurity startups, VC funding in the space continues to drop.

The UK's Cyber Growth Action Plan promises up to £16 million (about $21.7 million) in funding to support the creation and scaling of startups, but there are concerns that the plan falls short.
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Morgan Stanley notches $3B+ middle-market fund
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Morgan Stanley raised $3.2 billion in just 12 months for its latest middle-market PE fund—surpassing its $2.5 billion target and reaching the vehicle's hard cap.

The quick close reflects how private equity funds in Q1 secured quicker fundraising off the back of improved exit activity in 2024, though analysts warn the pace may not last.
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Advent-led group's $5B+ Spectris offer set to spark bidding war
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UK-listed precision equipment maker Spectris has agreed to a take-private offer from an Advent International-led group, rejecting an earlier offer from KKR.

KKR said after the deal that it is still "actively engaged in the advanced stages of due diligence." Spectris' share price rose as much as 15% following the deal to a high of £37.90 (about $51.25), surpassing Advent's offer price as shareholders speculate a bidding war.
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VC Deals  
Legal AI startup Harvey raised a $300 million Series E led by Kleiner Perkins and Coatue at a $5 billion valuation, Fortune reported.

PhysicsX, a London-based company developing AI for physics simulations, raised a $135 million Series B led by Atomico.

Customer service AI startup Decagon raised a $131 million Series C led by Accel and Andreessen Horowitz at a $1.5 billion valuation.

Amsterdam-based banking startup Finom raised a €115 million Series C led by AVP.

Canada-based Conquest Planning, the developer of a financial planning platform, raised an $80 million Series B led by Goldman Sachs Alternatives.

Financial-software developer Spinwheel raised a $30 million Series A led by F-Prime.

Botpress, a Canada-based company focused on AI agent infrastructure, raised a $25 million Series B led by Framework.

Snowcap Compute, the developer of superconducting architecture for data centers, launched with a $23 million seed round led by Playground Global.

AllSpice, a startup developing workflow collaboration software for hardware engineers, raised a $15 million Series A led by Rethink Impact, TechCrunch reported.
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PE Deals  
Warburg Pincus is in talks to sell its 10% stake in SBI General Insurance to Premji Invest in a deal that could value the Mumbai-based company around $4.5 billion, Bloomberg reported.

KKR is close to buying an 85% stake in Dayao, a China-based soft drinks maker, Bloomberg reported.

Ares Management acquired a 20% stake in Plenitude, the retail and renewables business of Italian oil and gas giant Eni, Reuters reported.

Toronto-based Kinterra Capital has offered to acquire New World Resources, an Australia-listed mining and exploration company.

Jadwa Investment bought a majority stake in Saudi retailer Makhazen Alenaya via its flagship PE fund.

Seafood investor Broodstock Capital has acquired Neptun Salmo, a Norwegian salmon hatchery.

TSG Consumer invested in wet wipe brand Dude Wipes.
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Exits  
Wealthfront, a fintech startup developing an automated investing and advisory platform, confidentially filed for a US IPO.

Germany-based payments startup Kadmos, which targets shipping companies and seafaring workers, agreed to be acquired by Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed NYK Line.

Jewelry retailer Claire's, which is backed by Elliott Management and Monarch Alternative Capital, is exploring a sale, Bloomberg reported.

Walmart's digital payments company PhonePe, which is widely used in India, is preparing to file for an IPO that could raise up to $1.5 billion, Bloomberg reported.

Munich-based Brainlab, which develops medtech software, is seeking to raise up to €400 million in its Frankfurt IPO.

Iceye, a military satellite maker based in Finland, is exploring options for an IPO in 2026, Bloomberg reported.
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Fundraising  
Austin-based Greenbelt Capital Partners closed its latest fund, Greenbelt Capital Partners III, on $1 billion.

Warsaw-based Movens Capital launched a €60 million fund to back founders from Central and Eastern Europe.
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Chart of the Day  
 
Source: BlackRock targets $400B in private market fundraising by 2030
 
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